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With thanks to Lord Robert Skidelsky for his coordination, the following letter has now been published in the Financial Times, to which I added my signature.
Russia’s latest military gains in the Donetsk region (Report, July 5) reinforce the case for a negotiated settlement of the war in Ukraine. The US and its allies support Ukraine’s key war aim, which is a return to the 2014 frontiers, ie, Russia’s expulsion from Crimea and Donbas. But all informed analysts agree that short of a serious escalation of war, the likeliest outcome will be continued stalemate on the ground, with a not insignificant chance of a Russian victory.
This conclusion points to the desirability, even urgency, of a negotiated peace, not least for the sake of Ukraine itself. Reluctance by the official west to accept a negotiated peace rests on the belief that anything short of a complete Ukrainian victory would allow Putin to “get away with it”.
But this ignores by far the most important outcome of the war so far: that Ukraine has fought for its independence, and won it — as Finland did in 1939-40. Some territorial concessions would seem a small price to pay for the reality, rather than semblance, of independence.
If a peace based on roughly the present division of forces in Ukraine is inevitable, it is immoral not to try for it now.
Washington should start talks with Moscow on a new security pact which would safeguard the legitimate security interests of both Ukraine and Russia. The announcement of these talks should be immediately followed by a time-limited ceasefire in Ukraine. The ceasefire would enable Russian and Ukrainian leaders to negotiate in a realistic, constructive manner.
We urge the world’s leaders to initiate or support such an initiative. The longer the war continues the more territory Ukraine is likely to lose, and the more the pressure for escalation up to a nuclear level is likely to grow. The sooner peace is negotiated the more lives will be saved, the sooner the reconstruction of Ukraine will start and the more quickly the world can be pulled back from the very dangerous brink at which it currently stands.
Lord Skidelsky Professor Emeritus in political economy University of Warwick
Sir Anthony Brenton British Ambassador to Russia (2004-2008)
Thomas Fazi Journalist, author, columnist for UnHerd
Anatol Lieven Senior Fellow, Quincy Institute for Responsible Statesmanship
Jack Matlock US Ambassador to the USSR (1987-1991)
Ian Proud British Embassy in Moscow (2014-2019)
Richard Sakwa Professor Emeritus of Russian and European Politics, University of Kent Christopher Granville British Embassy, Moscow (1991-1995)
Brave words, greatly needed
"We urge [...]"
It's a good urge by good urgers.
Thank you for adding your name to this letter, Ian.
It takes great personal courage to stand up and tell the truth in the face of the permanent gaslighting of western civilians at the hands of their governments and their so-called 'free press', free to print anything as long as it comes from Associated Press.
Allowing two thousand Ukrainians a day to lose their lives just because some red-faced bigwigs don't want Pootn to "get away with it" is immoral. In fact, I'd say it is plain evil.
I believe it is critical for NATO to be defeated in Ukraine. The world needs a security reset. NATO is just a…